Emerging Technology Beyond 2035: Scenario-Based Technology Assessment for Future Military Contingencies
Bryan Boling
Bok Engelsk 2022
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| Utgitt | RAND Corporation , 2022
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| Opplysninger | CHAPTER ONE: Introduction -- CHAPTER TWO: Worldbuilding for Future Contingencies -- CHAPTER THREE: Technology Assessments for Future Contingencies -- CHAPTER FOUR: Insights and Recommendations -- APPENDIX A: Prioritized Scenario Descriptions -- APPENDIX B: Sample Assessment Activity: Technology Matching -- APPENDIX C: Battle of the Arctic Depths Technology Research.. - The future is highly uncertain - however, it is important for the Army to try to anticipate future global developments and technological changes. The objective of this forecasting work is to assist the U.S. Army in preparing for shifting operational environments, including environments it might not have faced extensively in the past, such as in extreme weather conditions driven by climate change. In these and other operating conditions, emerging technologies might help the Army succeed in key missions and promote U.S. interests. Forecasting could also help the Army better understand and anticipate the types of conflicts it might face, along with the characteristics of key adversaries, and the operational-level challenges that could be in play. Preparing and planning for future contingencies are especially important in the context of scarce resources in an austere budget environment where the Army already today needs to make difficult decisions about how it dedicates its resources. This report presents the development and implementation of a technology road-mapping process to help the Army understand the implications of key emerging technologies that could be crucial to Army missions in the years 2035 to 2050. This work aims to assist the Army for shifting operational environments, such as operations in extreme weather conditions. Emerging technologies might help the Army succeed in key missions and promote U.S. interests.
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