Iran's military interventions : patterns, drivers, and signposts /


Ariane M. Tabatabai, Nathan Chandler, Bryan Frederick, Jennifer Kavanagh.
Bok Engelsk 2021 · Case studies.
Annen tittel
Medvirkende
Utgitt
Santa Monica, Calif. : RAND Corporation , 2021
Opplysninger
Introduction -- Identifying Possible Drivers of Iranian Military Interventions -- Patterns in Historical Iranian Military Interventions -- Case Study: Iranian Intervention in the Syrian Civil War (2011-Present) -- Case Study: Iranian Intervention to Counter the Rising ISIS Threat in Iraq (2014-Present) -- Conclusion.. - In recent years, Iran has risen as one of the most significant regional challenges faced by the United States, with Tehran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs, support for terrorist groups and militias, cyber activities and influence operations, and military interventions in the region. In this report, the authors assess when, where, why, and how Iran conducts military interventions and identify key signposts of Iranian military interventions that can be used as early warning indicators for U.S. military planners and that can guide decisions about the use of forces in the Middle East region. They identify the factors that are most likely to shape Iran's military intervention decisions and analyze those factors as they relate to two detailed case studies: (1) Iran's involvement in the ongoing Syrian civil war and (2) Iran's post-2014 intervention in Iraq to counter the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria. The future of great-power competition and how it plays out in the Middle East, coupled with the regional landscape, are important factors that will shape how Iran sees its military activities. Although a move away from a period of greater U.S. power in the region would seem to provide fewer threats and more opportunities for Iran, the relations among Beijing, Moscow, and Washington and how they affect Iranian perceptions of the regional balance of power bear careful monitoring.
Emner
Sjanger
Case studies. : (OCoLC)fst01423765
Geografisk emneord
Iran - Foreign relations. . - Syria - History . - Iran. : (OCoLC)fst01204889
Dewey

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