Welfare Gains of Aid Indexation in Small Open Economies.


Anubha. Dhasmana
Bok Engelsk 2008 · Electronic books.
Utgitt
International Monetary Fund
Omfang
1 online resource (40 pages)
Utgave
1st ed.
Opplysninger
Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Primary Commodity Exports and Price Volatility -- III. The Benchmark Model -- IV. Model Calibration and Comparative Statics -- V. Dynamics -- VI. Results -- VII. Conclusion -- Tables -- 1. Dynamic behavior of Aid -- 2. Share of the leading primary commodity export (97-99) -- 3. Share of the Top Three Primary Commodities, (1997-99) -- 4. Instability indices of prices of major primary commodities during 1957-1999 -- 6. Welfare cost under alternative model specifications -- 7. Welfare gains from indexed Aid -- 8. Welfare gains from indexed Aid -- 9. Welfare gains from indexed Aid -- Figures -- 1. Resource flow as a percentage of GDP -- 2. Steady state values -- 3. Sensitivity analysis -- 4. Stationary capital distribution -- References -- References.. - Foreign aid flows to poor, aid-dependent economies are highly volatile and pro-cyclical. Shortfalls in aid coincide with shortfalls in GDP and government revenues. This increases the consumption volatility in aid dependent countries, thereby causing substantial welfare losses. This paper finds that indexing aid flows to exogenous shocks like a change in the terms of trade can significantly improve the welfare of aid-dependent country by lowering its output and consumption volatility. Compared to the benchmark specification with stochastic aid flows, indexation of aid flows to terms of trade shocks can reduce the cost of business cycle fluctuations in the recipient country by four percent of permanent consumption. Moreover, use of indexed aid can allow donors to reduce the aid flows by three percent without lowering the level of welfare in the recipient country.
Emner
Sjanger
Dewey
ISBN
1451914164. - 9781451914160

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